Yes is at 97%, down 1.3 points from 98.3% when the market opened on 14 Oct 2026.
Across the 8 daily closes on record from 14 Oct 2026 to 23 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.6% on 17 Oct 2026 and the lowest 96.6% on 21 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 98.4%.
It is one of 12 markets under “AP calls the House by...?”.
$6.3 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $440.6 since listing. The order book holds $14.1K, with a 4.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 22 trades, $250.84 bought Yes and $4.36 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Faston with 161 shares; the largest No position is AJSV with 122.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 39 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 23, 2:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 14 Oct 2026 – 23 Oct 2026, chart shows 90%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2026 | 98.3% |
| 23 Oct 2026 | 97.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Faston | Yes | 161 |
| AJSV | No | 121.99 |
| cigarettes | Yes | 51 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Associated Press has, by the specified date and time (ET), called control of the United States House of Representatives for the Congress that will convene following the midterm elections. Otherwise it will resolve to “No”. Control of the House of Representatives will be considered to have been called when the Associated Press has either 1) issued a call that House control has been determined, or 2) issued race calls declaring winners in at least 218 districts for candidates of the same party, with all such calls standing at the same time for 1 hour without retraction. Independents will not be considered members of a party for purposes of this count. Under condition 1, no subsequent withdrawal of a control call will be relevant to this market. Under condition 2, this market will remain open for one hour following the race call that brings a party’s standing calls to 218. If, within that hour, the Associated Press retracts any of those calls such that the party’s standing calls fall below 218, condition 2 will not be considered satisfied by that call. If no such retraction occurs within the hour, condition 2 will be considered satisfied as of the time of the 218th call, regardless of any later retraction. For resolution, the relevant time is the time of the 218th call, not the end of the one-hour period. The resolution source for this market will be the Associated Press.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ap-calls-the-house-byptptpt
| hithitfar |
| No |
| 47.68 |
| Numitus1994 | No | 21 |
| kitty07 | Yes | 20 |
| prizr | No | 20 |
| balthazar | No | 19.99 |
| 2B9S | No | 13.7 |
| chaosj89 | Yes | 9.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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