Analytics
Yes is at 6.8%, up 3 points from 3.8% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 7.6% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 19 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 4.5%.
$30 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $4.57K since listing. The order book holds $16.15K, with a 1.7% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 40 trades, $184.78 bought Yes and $768.52 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Dishonest-Kingfish with 1.7K shares; the largest No position is PascalPro with 971. Ten wallets hold 90.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 19 Apr 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 12:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–12%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 3.8% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 7.6% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Dishonest-Kingfish | Yes | 1.67K |
| PascalPro | No | 970.64 |
| SmartBoyBilly | No | 778.02 |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in France on April 18, 2027, with a second round on May 2, 2027. A second round will be held if no candidate secures a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French government, specifically the Constitutional Council (Conseil constitutionnel) (https://www.conseil-constitutionnel.fr/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-anyone-win-frances-presidential-election-in-the-first-round
| napoknot21 |
| Yes |
| 694.43 |
| Careful-West | Yes | 364.62 |
| DFK | No | 293.7 |
| Pikassiette | No | 200 |
| 0561 | No | 150 |
| maddersky | No | 129.99 |
| Silver Signal 409F | No | 109.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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