Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 5.5% on 4 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 28 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 1 Oct 2026, the highest close was 11.5% on 5 Sep 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points up, to 11.5% on 5 Sep 2026. $12.46K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 28 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | 5.5% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Scout EF69 | Yes | 1.14K |
| Kooky-Anarchy | Yes | 300.14 |
| Attached-Prairie | Yes | 162.5 |
Ukrainian airspace has been closed to air traffic since the full-scale invasion by the Russian Federation on February 24, 2022. Boryspil International Airport (KBP / UKBB), located near Kyiv, suspended all routine operations immediately following the start of hostilities, and routine and general flights remain suspended. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one manned aircraft successfully lands at or takes off from Boryspil International Airport between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Eligible flights include any manned fixed-wing aircraft or rotorcraft (helicopter), regardless of registration, owner, or purpose (e.g., commercial passenger, cargo, military transport, diplomatic or state flight, technical ferry, or emergency landing). Unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs, drones, or loitering munitions), touch-and-go passes without a full touchdown and stop or taxi, and landings or departures occurring outside the physical boundaries of Boryspil International Airport will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source will be verified radar and ADS-B flight tracking data (e.g., Flightradar24, ADS-B Exchange) and official announcements from Boryspil International Airport, the State Aviation Administration of Ukraine, or the Ministry of Infrastructure of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-any-aircraft-land-or-take-off-at-kyiv-boryspil-airport-by
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 148.54 |
| HerrieDavis | Yes | 110.16 |
| crossFiter | Yes | 80.69 |
| Flickering-Expert | Yes | 47.55 |
| PPMT | Yes | 27.31 |
| bakayo33 - 9934 | Yes | 21.82 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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