Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 10% on 20 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 21% on 22 Aug 2026 and the low 0.1% on 22 Sep 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 21% on 22 Aug 2026. $40.5K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 6:05 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 20 Aug 2026 – 1 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Aug 2026 | 10.0% |
| 1 Oct 2026 | 0.1% |
4 more outcomes, none above 0.5%.
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.74K |
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 2K |
| csgoweiqi | Yes | 522.5 |
This market will resolve based on the calendar month (ET) in which Anthropic's initial public offering (IPO) occurs. The resolving month will be the calendar month (ET) containing the first day on which Anthropic shares are listed and open for regular-way trading on a public securities exchange. An IPO refers to Anthropic shares becoming listed and open for trading on a public securities exchange, whether through a traditional initial public offering or a direct listing. If Anthropic goes public through a merger, acquisition, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded, including a special purpose acquisition company, this market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun. Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/in-which-month-will-anthropic-ipo
| onyxt | Yes | 214.56 |
| darksoul238 | Yes | 200 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 182.72 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734. | Yes | 149.99 |
| balthazar | Yes | 128.81 |
| haveagoodday | Yes | 125 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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