Will Anthropic reset Claude usage limit by September 30?

Resolved

Yes, settled Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$1.2K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Sep 1, 2026 UTC

Topic roomBest AI Model

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 1 Sep 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 43%. Yes opened at 50% on 27 Aug 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 1 Sep 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 33% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 33% on 30 Aug 2026. $1.18K traded over the market's life.

10 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:08 PM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026, chart shows 25%–55%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Aug 2026	50.0%
1 Sep 2026	43.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Bsau4	No	237.91
BASSATS01	No	140.48
Geromi	No	50
.Menthe	No	50

10 of 10 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic resets Claude subscription usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying reset is a one-time, manually initiated action by Anthropic that, before the normal reset schedule, zeroes or refills both the 5-hour and weekly usage counters for all Claude subscription users across all models. Normal scheduled resets, resets limited to certain users or models, temporary limit increases or additional usage that do not refill existing counters, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of Anthropic API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. An official announcement stating that Anthropic has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official Anthropic accounts such as ClaudeDevs, for example: https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2077603834453770467. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Anthropic, including those published by @AnthropicAI, @ClaudeDevs, or any other Anthropic-operated account on X. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.