Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 52%. Yes opened at 49% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 83.5% on 2 Aug 2026 and the low 40.5% on 30 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points up, to 83.5% on 2 Aug 2026. $873.62 traded over the market's life.
12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 2, 6:59 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 32 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 1 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 49.0% |
| 1 Sep 2026 | 48.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Contentious-Dinnerdate | Yes | 299.35 |
| balabalababalabala | Yes | 115.65 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic resets Claude subscription usage limits by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying reset is a one-time, manually initiated action by Anthropic that, before the normal reset schedule, zeroes or refills both the 5-hour and weekly usage counters for all Claude subscription users across all models. Normal scheduled resets, resets limited to certain users or models, temporary limit increases or additional usage that do not refill existing counters, and changes to pricing, plans, or usage caps will not qualify. Resets of Anthropic API rate limits or organizational usage tiers will also not qualify. An official announcement stating that Anthropic has reset, is resetting, or will reset the limits on the same date as the announcement will qualify if published within the market's timeframe, regardless of when the technical reset begins or is completed. Qualifying announcements include X posts by official Anthropic accounts such as ClaudeDevs, for example: https://x.com/ClaudeDevs/status/2077603834453770467. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Anthropic, including those published by @AnthropicAI, @ClaudeDevs, or any other Anthropic-operated account on X. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/anthropic-resets-claude-usage-limit-byptptpt-20260730221031054
| tiongbu | Yes | 21 |
| romanew-7-spread05 | Yes | 14.27 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 10 |
| GuyFromTinder | Yes | 5.48 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 5 |
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