Analytics
Yes is at 12.5%, down 16 points from 28.5% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 117 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8% on 25 Aug 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 11.5%; a month before, 13.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 13.5% on 10 Jul 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?”.
$13.41K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $627.33, with a 5.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 193 trades, $2.74K bought Yes and $507.36 bought No; the largest was a $1.5K buy of Yes at 70.2¢.
The largest Yes position is L06an with 362 shares; the largest No position is mocamoca with 540. Ten wallets hold 83.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 117 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 28.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 12.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mocamoca | No | 539.9 |
| L06an | Yes | 361.61 |
| 1231123123 | No | 252.37 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ansem-flip-pump-by-20260702152126828
| gydmasg |
| No |
| 164.9 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 152.73 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 126.49 |
| dropmeplease | No | 119.99 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 102.15 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 82.29 |
| lorasw | Yes | 71.66 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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