Analytics
Yes is at 10%, down 13 points from 23% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
Across the 113 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the lowest 8.5% on 14 Jul 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 9%; a month before, 10%. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 37.5% on 4 Jul 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?”.
$5.54K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.38K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 158 trades, $308.68 bought Yes and $1.29K bought No.
The largest Yes position is b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. with 69 shares; the largest No position is 1231123123 with 159. Ten wallets hold 77.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 10:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 113 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 23.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 1231123123 | No | 159.41 |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD. | Yes | 69.48 |
| Aggressive-Interaction | Yes | 54.59 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ansem-flip-pump-by-20260702152126828
| LornaPredicts | No | 52.22 |
| homaki | Yes | 50 |
| Neon Vector BAE0 | Yes | 49.17 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 31.18 |
| Misty Beacon 8976 | Yes | 28.21 |
| gydmasg | No | 26.55 |
| hithitfar | Yes | 23.18 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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