Analytics
Yes is at 5.3%, down 12 points from 17% when the market opened on 3 Jul 2026.
The high was 40.5% on 5 Jul 2026 and the low 4.3% on 28 Sep 2026. A week ago Yes was at 5.3%; a month ago, 5.9%. Its largest one-day move was 16 points up, to 40.5% on 5 Jul 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Will $ANSEM flip $PUMP by ___?”.
$84.18K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $1.35K, with a 2.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $2.14K bought Yes and $19.73K bought No; the largest was a $1.29K buy of No at 86.0¢.
The largest Yes position is pginvesting with 8.7K shares; the largest No position is marsresting with 4.9K. Ten wallets hold 74.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 73 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 20, 5:54 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 109 points, 3 Jul 2026 – 20 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17.0% |
| 20 Oct 2026 | 5.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pginvesting | Yes | 8.69K |
| marsresting | No | 4.94K |
| Jfownsk | No | 4.18K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the market capitalization of The Black Bull (ANSEM) surpasses that of Pump.fun (PUMP) according to CoinGecko at any point between market creation and the date specified in the title, timezone ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's data for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/the-black-bull and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/pump-fun, respectively. If CoinGecko stops showing relevant data, data from CoinMarketCap will be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ansem-flip-pump-by-20260702152126828
| Moond |
| No |
| 3.05K |
| redpanda135 | No | 1.82K |
| mocamoca | Yes | 1.5K |
| Flamboyant-Warming | Yes | 1.31K |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 1.2K |
| Rapid Maven 2EF4 | No | 1.19K |
| LineLock | Yes | 1.13K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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