Analytics
Will annual inflation be 3.9% in November?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
18.5%
No
81.5%
Yes costs 18.5¢No costs 81.5¢
24h Volume
$214
Total volume
$1.7K
Liquidity
$2.5K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 18.5% on Polymarket.
It is one of 12 markets under “November Inflation US - Annual”.
The best bid and the best ask are 3.0% apart, so read the price as a range. Across the latest 42 trades, $41.77 bought Yes and $1.11K bought No.
Ten wallets hold 86.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 12%–24%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | 18.5% |
Same event
November Inflation US - Annual
- 13.8%$2.05K traded33.5%
- 23.7%$2.09K traded24.0%
- 33.9%This market
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 17735977 | Yes | 597.45 |
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 285.27 |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | No | 231.33 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-us-annual
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports