Analytics
Will annual inflation be 4.1% in November?
economyActive
Closes Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Yes
3.1%
No
96.8%
Yes costs 3.15¢No costs 96.85¢
24h Volume
$157
Total volume
$207
Liquidity
$2.0K
Closes
Dec 10, 2026 UTC
Topic roomUS Economy
Where it stands
Yes is at 3.1%, about where the market opened on 14 Nov 2026.
Across the 2 daily closes on record from 14 Nov 2026 to 14 Nov 2026, the price held at 3.3%.
It is one of 12 markets under “November Inflation US - Annual”.
The best bid and the best ask are 5.5% apart, so read the price as a range.
Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026, 26 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 14 Nov 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Nov 2026 | 3.3% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 3.1% |
Same event
November Inflation US - Annual
Largest holders
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 285.27 |
| Ipredictthemarket | Yes | 157 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 85.27 |
Rules
What settles this market
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading closes on 10 Dec 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/november-inflation-us-annual
Dates
Topic room
Read this market in context
What to watch in US Economy
- Each release in turn: the jobs report on the first Friday of the month, CPI a week or two later, GDP a month after each quarter ends
- Energy and shelter prices, the two parts of CPI that move the monthly print most
- Weekly jobless claims between reports