Analytics
Trading ended on 11 Nov 2026 with Yes at 95.3%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 14 Nov 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 95.9% on 11 Nov 2026 and the lowest 69% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 86.5%. Its largest one-day move was 18 points up, to 87% on 17 Oct 2026.
3.7% is the favourite of the 12 outcomes in “October Inflation US - Annual”, ahead of 3.6% at 1.7%.
Ten wallets hold 77.8% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Polymarket record as of Nov 14, 10:09 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 14 Nov 2026, chart shows 60%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 69.0% |
| 14 Nov 2026 | 95.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid-Alphabet-Winner | No | 14.31K |
| Stonktrader | Yes | 5.33K |
| 17735977 | Yes | 2.73K |
Polymarket settles this market on the source its rules name. Sources named in the rules: bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm, bls.gov/schedule. Trading ended on 11 Nov 2026.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/october-inflation-us-annual
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly |
| Yes |
| 2.02K |
| CoinTrick | Yes | 2K |
| Snarling-Sundial | Yes | 1.07K |
| z13cc | Yes | 930 |
| makeit99 | Yes | 704.6 |
| nj23adsknml3 | Yes | 700 |
| ATJackk | Yes | 600 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page