Analytics
Yes is at 97%, about where the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 4 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97% on 30 Oct 2026 and the lowest 91.5% on 28 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.1 points down, to 91.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
Andrey Gyurov is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place Abroad”, ahead of Iliana Iotova at 0.8%.
$6.23K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $17.49K since listing. The order book holds $13.69K, with a 3.5% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 163 trades, $11.11K bought Yes and $371.56 bought No; the largest was a $3.06K buy of Yes at 94.5¢.
The largest Yes position is coco040678 with 3.2K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 7.7K. Ten wallets hold 84.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 2 Nov 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 6:17 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 88%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 96.7% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 97.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 7.7K |
| coco040678 | Yes | 3.24K |
| delphy | Yes | 3.21K |
The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the second round of this election from voters abroad, meaning votes cast outside Bulgaria and reported by the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (CIK) under “Outside the country” (“Извън страната”). Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won abroad. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bulgaria-presidential-election-second-round-1st-place-abroad-20261026154956939
| GamGanapati |
| Yes |
| 1.81K |
| Lucerys | Yes | 1.1K |
| LornaPredicts | No | 1.06K |
| MSFTQQQ | Yes | 795.08 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 661.76 |
| planktonXD | No | 570 |
| Antony82 | No | 510.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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