Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? | No | 4.94K | $0.926 | $4.85K | +$273.75 |
Iran Nuke before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 759.24 | $0.895 | $679.32 | 3d ago |
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| No |
| 4.19K |
| $0.954 |
| $3.98K |
| -$20.7 |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 4K | $0.901 | $3.97K | +$364.8 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 3.13K | $0.959 | $3.03K | +$26.84 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.93K | $0.957 | $2.88K | +$80.46 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | No | 2.64K | $0.767 | $2.08K | +$59.8 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 2.1K | $0.950 | $2.03K | +$34.6 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | No | 1.6K | $0.860 | $1.5K | +$120.35 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 1.4K | $0.964 | $1.36K | +$9.56 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | No | 1.33K | $0.960 | $1.29K | +$12.67 |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | No | 1.37K | $0.894 | $1.17K | -$57.95 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1.02K | +$16.31 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | No | 841 | $0.958 | $815.77 | +$10.09 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027? | No | 654.83 | $0.970 | $637.8 | +$2.8 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 302.96 | $0.960 | $297.66 | +$6.82 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 188.69 | $0.970 | $183.97 | +$0.97 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027? | No | 161.73 | $0.971 | $157.6 | +$0.6 |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | Yes | 155.03 | $0.740 | $117.05 | +$2.35 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 95.03 | $0.926 | $93.04 | +$5.04 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027? | No | 88 | $0.959 | $86.11 | +$1.68 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027? | No | 73.52 | $0.966 | $71.31 | +$0.31 |
Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 43.54 | $0.971 | $42.5 | +$0.21 |
| sell |
| 400 |
| $0.996 |
| $398.4 |
| 3d ago |
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?No | buy | 610.5 | $0.894 | $545.65 | 3d ago |
Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 43.54 | $0.971 | $42.29 | 3d ago |
Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 2.19K | $0.958 | $2.1K | 3d ago |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 545.76 | $0.807 | $440.45 | 3d ago |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 2.59K | $0.997 | $2.58K | 3d ago |
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | buy | 155.03 | $0.740 | $114.69 | 3d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 2.1K | $0.950 | $1.99K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Iran Nuke before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.950 | $1.9K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 502 | $0.974 | $488.85 | Aug 2, 2026 |
China x Japan military clash before 2027?No | buy | 1.09K | $0.920 | $1K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.757 | $1.58K | Aug 2, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 923.23 | $0.990 | $914 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | sell | 919.18 | $0.995 | $914.58 | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.994 | $1.02K | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 2.22K | $0.990 | $2.2K | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No | buy | 1.04K | $0.992 | $1.03K | Jul 17, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 2.09K | $0.957 | $2K | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in July?No | buy | 483.87 | $0.992 | $480 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No | buy | 608.15 | $0.993 | $603.86 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 1.37K | $0.860 | $1.18K | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.960 | $38.4 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 521.38 | $0.959 | $500 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in July?No | buy | 201.81 | $0.991 | $200 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in July?No | buy | 109.23 | $0.916 | $100 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?No | buy | 305.28 | $0.983 | $300 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 3.13K | $0.959 | $3K | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 1.29K | $0.960 | $1.24K | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO by August 31?No | buy | 162.49 | $0.991 | $161 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 95.03 | $0.926 | $88 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 835.95 | $0.957 | $800 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Iran successfully targets shipping on July 14?Yes | buy | 69.91 | $0.987 | $69 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 841 | $0.958 | $805.68 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | buy | 232.56 | $0.860 | $200 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.75% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 161.73 | $0.971 | $157 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 654.83 | $0.970 | $635 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 1.4K | $0.964 | $1.35K | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 0.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 88 | $0.959 | $84.43 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 188.69 | $0.970 | $183 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.0% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 73.52 | $0.966 | $71 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.5% or lower before 2027?No | buy | 302.96 | $0.960 | $290.84 | Jul 15, 2026 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 4.72K | $0.988 | $4.67K | Jun 5, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 924.13 | $0.964 | $891 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?No | buy | 433.46 | $0.992 | $430 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?No | buy | 2.81K | $0.925 | $2.6K | Jun 5, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?No | buy | 416.36 | $0.961 | $400 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Rosen Zhelyazkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.958 | $1.15K | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 698.92 | $0.930 | $650 | Jun 5, 2026 |
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?No | buy | 585.26 | $0.935 | $547.1 | Jun 5, 2026 |