Analytics
Yes is at 13%, down 37 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 25 Jun 2026.
Across the 125 daily closes on record from 25 Jun 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 49.5% on 25 Jun 2026 and the lowest 8% on 27 Jun 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 12.5%; a month before, 12.5%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points down, to 8% on 27 Jun 2026.
It is one of 11 markets under “Who will the Trump admin next nominate as SCOTUS Justice?”.
$658.39 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $457.08, with a 2.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 33 trades, $43.06 bought Yes and $82.01 bought No.
The largest Yes position is aliiz with 101 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 75.
Trading closes on 20 Jan 2029.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 125 points, 25 Jun 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 13.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aliiz | Yes | 101.13 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 75.36 |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly | No | 58.51 |
This market will resolve according to the next individual who is formally nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. In the event that more than one such nomination is submitted to the Senate at the same time, this market shall resolve in favor of the nomination that was announced first or, should such a temporal determination be impossible to make, in last-name alphabetical order. If no individual is nominated to be a Justice of the Supreme Court by January 19, 2029, at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Senate (see: https://www.senate.gov/legislative/nominations_new.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-be-the-trump-admin-next-nominate-as-scotus-justice-20260624144117702
| Oklmntrader | Yes | 35.81 |
| cigarettes | No | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 10.26 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 3.66 |
| Hugin-og-Munin | Yes | 3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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