Analytics
Yes is at 87.9%, up 63 points from 25% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 25 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 88.8% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 12.5% on 4 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 60.5%. Its largest one-day move was 20 points up, to 32% on 6 Oct 2026.
NL Central is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner”, ahead of AL East at 3.4%.
$40 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.46K since listing. The order book holds $21.41K, with a 21.6% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 114 trades, $694.9 bought Yes and $392.8 bought No.
The largest Yes position is anciano with 182 shares; the largest No position is ndb1 with 179. Ten wallets hold 76.4% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 20 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:00 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 25 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 25.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 87.9% |
This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-world-series-division-winner
| funplayer- |
| Yes |
| 97.16 |
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 93.93 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | No | 93.62 |
| tacor | Yes | 91.39 |
| tradetosurvive1 | No | 61.27 |
| omoi0i0 | Yes | 60 |
| CosmicCedar | Yes | 46.71 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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