Analytics
Yes is at 9%, down 17 points from 26% when the market opened on 1 Oct 2026.
Across the 24 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 38.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 3% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 26.5%. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 3% on 28 Oct 2026.
AL East ranks second of the 2 outcomes in “MLB 2026: World Series Division Winner”. NL Central leads at 91%.
$28.99 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $1.95K since listing. The order book holds $73.06K, with a 1.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 79 trades, $137.68 bought Yes and $697.32 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Fair-Tan with 96 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 114. Ten wallets hold 81% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 16 Nov 2026, 19 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:12 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 24 points, 1 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2026 | 26.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 3.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 113.93 |
| Maximus374 | No | 99.07 |
| Fair-Tan | Yes | 96.47 |
This market will resolve according to the division of the team that wins the 2026 World Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed division to produce the 2026 World Series champion (e.g., all of its teams have been eliminated from the 2026 MLB Postseason), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 World Series is cancelled, postponed after November 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a champion has not been declared within that timeframe, each listed division's market will resolve to "No" and the "Other" market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source will be official information from MLB (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/mlb-2026-world-series-division-winner
| Dr.PNL |
| Yes |
| 78.99 |
| dips. | No | 68 |
| just-bettor | Yes | 61.95 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 34.69 |
| Carabao | Yes | 26.91 |
| cloverpmq2 | Yes | 25 |
| tradetosurvive1 | Yes | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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