Will Alliance for Rights and Freedoms (APS) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?

Resolved

No, settled Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$45.7K

Resolved

Settled

Apr 21, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 21 Apr 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.3%. Yes opened at 41% on 28 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 19 daily closes on record from 28 Mar 2026 to 21 Apr 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 41% on 28 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.8% on 20 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 15% on 29 Mar 2026. $45.72K traded over the market's life.

47 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Apr 22, 11:03 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 19 points, 28 Mar 2026 – 21 Apr 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
28 Mar 2026	41.0%
21 Apr 2026	0.8%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
FrankyFourFingers	Yes	1.31K
Crimson Falcon 8C6C	Yes	600
n.jordanov	Yes	504.44

10 of 47 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed political party wins at least one seat in the next Bulgarian National Assembly (Народно събрание, Narodno săbraniе) as a result of the election. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).