Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 242 | $0.188 | $44.17 | -$1.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?No | sell | 20 | $0.560 | $11.2 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 128 |
| $0.300 |
| $33.28 |
| -$5.12 |
 Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1490? | Yes | 35.17 | $0.850 | $28.58 | -$1.32 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? | No | 66 | $0.380 | $23.1 | -$1.98 |
 Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026? | No | 24 | $0.500 | $10.68 | -$1.32 |
 Will Marianne Meed Ward win the 2026 Burlington mayoral election? | No | 23 | $0.530 | $6.56 | -$5.64 |
 Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of October 2026 (Style Control On)? | Yes | 28 | $0.279 | $4.37 | -$3.44 |
 Will CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 23 | $0.410 | $3.57 | -$5.87 |
 Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.350 | $1.01 | -$5.99 |
| sell |
| 6 |
| $0.440 |
| $2.64 |
| 1d ago |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.2% before 2027?Yes | sell | 101 | $0.300 | $30.3 | 1d ago |
 Will Clay Jenkins win the 2026 Dallas County Judge election?No | sell | 20 | $0.029 | $0.57 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.31 | $0.160 | $0.85 | 2d ago |
 LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.039 | $0.65 | 2d ago |
| LAPTOP FDV above $2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 3.34 | $0.040 | $0.13 | 2d ago |
 Will Ron Nirenberg win the 2026 Bexar County Judge election?No | sell | 28.33 | $0.040 | $1.13 | 2d ago |
 Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.220 | $6.6 | 2d ago |
 Will Gustavo Gayer win the second-most votes in the 2026 Goiás Senate election?Yes | sell | 18.85 | $0.660 | $12.44 | 2d ago |
 Will no one leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.43 | $0.520 | $0.74 | 3d ago |
 Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.420 | $4.62 | 3d ago |
| Will Google be the #3 AI Lab at the end of September 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.420 | $8.4 | 3d ago |
 Will Angelica Katsanidou be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Kalmar County?No | sell | 69 | $0.176 | $12.16 | 7d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 210 | $0.310 | $65.1 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Will G2 Esports Win the Shortest Game in LEC 2026 Summer Split?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.190 | $3.8 | Aug 12, 2026 |
 Yabloko Effectively Banned From 2026 Russian Elections by September 17?Yes | sell | 59 | $0.740 | $43.66 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 5.02 | $0.563 | $2.83 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.570 | $14.25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 161 | $0.560 | $90.17 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.560 | $3.36 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will Kai and Speed finish their Minecraft marathon by August 26?Yes | sell | 118 | $0.690 | $81.42 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.566 | $6.79 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?No | sell | 24 | $0.420 | $10.08 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by August 15?No | sell | 21 | $0.790 | $16.59 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Situational Awareness raises new capital by August 31?No | sell | 40 | $0.650 | $26 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Cuba nationwide internet/power outage by July 31?Yes | sell | 21 | $0.070 | $1.47 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Dricus Du Plessis fight Sean Strickland next?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.300 | $7.5 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?No | sell | 8 | $0.590 | $4.72 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 CVS Health (CVS) Q2 medical benefit ratio (MBR) 87.5%-89%?No | sell | 23 | $0.700 | $16.1 | Jul 21, 2026 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 in July?Yes | sell | 5.57 | $0.420 | $2.34 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.390 | $8.58 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?No | sell | 241 | $0.400 | $96.4 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Ed Case be the HI-01 Democratic nominee?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.420 | $11.76 | Jul 18, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?No | sell | 116 | $0.510 | $59.16 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by August 31?No | buy | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Jul 13, 2026 |
 Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?Yes | sell | 32.99 | $0.215 | $7.09 | Jul 13, 2026 |
| Will Neuralink's valuation hit (LOW) $37.5B by July 31?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.196 | $4.9 | Jul 12, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.220 | $1.1 | Jul 8, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity's valuation hit (LOW) $15B by December 31?Yes | sell | 22 | $0.710 | $15.62 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 17, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.620 | $31 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Edna Nabess win the 2026 Pas-Kameesak Manitoba Legislative Assembly by-election?Yes | buy | 103 | $0.210 | $21.63 | Jul 3, 2026 |
| Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.260 | $5.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.400 | $5 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 17.81 | $0.400 | $7.12 | Jun 26, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.402 | $15.28 | Jun 26, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?No | buy | 36.6 | $0.560 | $20.5 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 GPT-5.6 released by July 3, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.55 | $0.440 | $5.08 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jun 18, 2026 |