Will Alison Jarman win the next Devonport mayoral election?

politicsAwaiting resolution

Ended Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Yes

99.1%

0.9%

Observed Yes 99.1¢Observed No 0.9¢

Lifetime volume

$10.6K

Ended

Oct 28, 2026 UTC

Topic roomWorld elections

Where it stands

Trading ended on 28 Oct 2026 with Yes at 99.1%; Polymarket has not settled it yet.

Across the 52 daily closes on record from 4 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.1% on 28 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 12 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 63.5%; a month before, 58%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points down, to 33.5% on 12 Sep 2026.

Alison Jarman is the favourite of the 2 outcomes in “Devonport Mayoral Election Winner”, ahead of Steve Martin at 1%.

$10.64K has traded since listing.

The largest Yes position is Emotional-Greatgrandfather with 2.3K shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 2.5K. Ten wallets hold 85.1% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.

Polymarket record as of Oct 28, 3:58 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 52 points, 4 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026

All outcomes

Devonport Mayoral Election Winner

1Alison JarmanThis market$10.64K traded99.1%
2Steve Martin$7.19K traded1.0%

Largest holders

The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	2.45K
Emotional-Greatgrandfather	Yes	2.31K
SnapElectionAvoider	No	1.09K

Rules

What settles this market

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Devonport as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).