Analytics
Resolved No on 2 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 15.5% on 30 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 34 daily closes on record from 30 May 2026 to 2 Jul 2026, the highest close was 15.5% on 30 May 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 1 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 7% on 2 Jun 2026. $7.73K traded over the market's life.
11 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 34 points, 30 May 2026 – 2 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 30 May 2026 | 15.5% |
| 2 Jul 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| keybo | Yes | 155.91 |
| Rokokoraccoon | Yes | 100 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Total Arrests counter for aliens in New York, NY, as reported by whitehouse.gov/aliens/, reaches or exceeds the specified figure by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the Total Arrests counter for the specified city at https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/. If the counter becomes unavailable and does not resume by the end of the third calendar day after it first became unavailable, this market will resolve to "No". Note: Only cases reported by the specified resolution source will qualify, regardless of reports from U.S. state agencies or other sources.
Resolution source: https://www.whitehouse.gov/aliens/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-alien-arrests-in-new-york-hit-by-june-30
| Yes |
| 89.99 |
| FlooFloo | Yes | 20 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 15 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 15 |
| TerranSupremacy | Yes | 5.57 |
| 54sfds | Yes | 0.2 |
| Colala | Yes | 0.01 |
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