Analytics
Resolved Yes on 7 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 26 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 43 daily closes on record from 26 Jul 2026 to 7 Sep 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 7 Sep 2026 and the lowest 15% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points up, to 43% on 28 Jul 2026. $94.49K traded over the market's life.
44 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 7, 8:03 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 43 points, 26 Jul 2026 – 7 Sep 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2026 | 29.5% |
| 7 Sep 2026 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 25K |
| 0x8712 | No | 2K |
| elockt | No | 2K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026. This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the AfD party in the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt as a result of this election. If the AfD party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the AfD party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted. If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the AfD party in this election. This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/sachsen-anhalt-parliamentary-elections-afd-of-seats-20260722230807017
| No |
| 805 |
| Turbulent-Decline-Router | No | 790 |
| HerrieDavis | No | 723.65 |
| tsihkodiives | No | 358.8 |
| Devoted-Route | No | 308 |
| BKno95 | No | 200 |
| runechiters | No | 199.99 |
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