What is the “Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Virginia Governor Election Abigail Spanberger margin of victory?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 4, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Spanberger’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Abigail…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($109.71K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 91 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 89.1% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Dec 2, 8:34 AM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/virginia-governor-election-margin-of-victory) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%? Final Odds

Predictions Analytics

Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%? Final Odds | Vultax

Market referencewill-abigail-spanberger-win-by-less-than-6Updated Dec 2, 2025 UTC

Closed

Scheduled close Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Observed Yes 0¢Observed No 100¢

24h Volume

$109.7K

Scheduled close

Nov 4, 2025 UTC

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Dec 3, 2025 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Dec 2, 2025 UTC

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

0.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

89%

Yes / No shares

119.74K / 179.08K

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

500

Wallets

190

Loaded notional

Reported market positionsProvider-reported rows from the displayed market-position observation.

Trader	Outcome	Shares	Avg entry	Cost basis	Last trade
Indigo Signal 2966	No	179.03K	0.0%	$0
wokerjoesleeper	Yes	23.64K	0.0%	$0	Nov 5, 1:19 AM UTC

Virginia Governor Election Abigail Spanberger margin of victory?

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Abigail Spanberger win by less than 6%? It is one of the markets in the Polymarket event “Virginia Governor Election Abigail Spanberger margin of victory?”. Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 0.0¢ and No at 100.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 0.0% for Yes and 100.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Nov 4, 2025 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve according to the margin of victory (MoV) for Democrat Abigail Spanberger in the 2025 Virginia gubernatorial general election, scheduled for November 4, 2025. For the purpose of resolving this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute percentage-point difference between Spanberger’s certified statewide vote share and the vote share of the runner-up (the candidate with the second-highest number of votes) in the certified results. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If Abigail…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($109.71K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Top holders by valueReturned holders ranked by current holding value. Profit and win rate are unavailable for this sample.

Trader	Current holding value
Indigo Signal 2966	$179.03K
ysseraf	$8.01
tyran23311	$7.01
numbeuuno1	$6.01
dekomat2i	$6.01
xuxun18	$5.01
hulankis	$5.01
keks221	$5.01
Inconsequential-Possible	$5.01
Unused-Cartoon	$1.18
wokerjoesleeper	$0
AnonymousUsername	$0