Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 40 points from 50% when the market opened on 3 Oct 2026.
Across the 23 daily closes on record from 3 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (4 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 3 Oct 2026 and the lowest 7.5% on 16 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 13%. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 31% on 9 Oct 2026.
$81.26 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6.96K since listing. The order book holds $1.26K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 88 trades, $464.74 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No.
The largest Yes position is PascalPro with 1.4K shares; the largest No position is amame with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 96.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 15 Dec 2026, 48 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:44 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 23 points, 3 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| PascalPro | Yes | 1.39K |
| amame | No | 1.36K |
| Constancefung | No | 543.75 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one Western team reaches the Grand Final of the 2026 League of Legends World Championship (Worlds 2026), currently scheduled for October 15 to November 14, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A Western team is a team that qualified for the tournament through the LEC (Europe / EMEA), the LCS (North America), or the CBLOL (Brazil). Teams that qualified through the LCK (South Korea), the LPL (China), or the LCP (Asia-Pacific) are not Western teams. A team that enters the Swiss Stage through the Play-In keeps the region it qualified through. A team is considered to have reached the Grand Final if it is one of the two teams officially confirmed as a participant in the Grand Final match, regardless of the Grand Final's outcome. If the Grand Final participants are not determined by December 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the tournament is canceled or postponed past that date, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, Riot Games, via the LoL Esports website (https://lolesports.com). However, a consensus of credible reporting (e.g., Liquipedia at https://liquipedia.net/leagueoflegends/World_Championship/2026) may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-western-team-reach-the-worlds-2026-grand-final
| Numitus1994 |
| Yes |
| 211.99 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 137.62 |
| Ivory Pulse 6605 | No | 61.74 |
| NInjaja987 | Yes | 55.56 |
| pootytherewardfarmer | Yes | 51.8 |
| predictdogepepewif | Yes | 50 |
| ghorrock | No | 46.09 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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