Analytics
Yes is at 0.5%, down 29 points from 29.5% when the market opened on 27 Aug 2026.
Across the 61 daily closes on record from 27 Aug 2026 to 29 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 29.5% on 27 Aug 2026 and the lowest 0.5% on 29 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.3%; a month before, 4.5%. Its largest one-day move was 22 points down, to 7.5% on 28 Aug 2026.
$231.79 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $8.84K since listing. The order book holds $11.71K, with a 0.8% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 127 trades, $153.41 bought Yes and $3.53K bought No; the largest was a $1.24K buy of No at 99.6¢.
The largest Yes position is 2B9S with 533 shares; the largest No position is Lisbon with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 77% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 31 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 2:50 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 61 points, 27 Aug 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Aug 2026 | 29.5% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 0.5% |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any country not already a part of the Abraham Accords formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. Such a signing will qualify regardless of whether a country had an established diplomatic relationship with Israel predating this event; their becoming a signatory of the Abraham Accords qualifies as normalizing relations under the framework of that agreement. For the purposes of this market, Somaliland will count as a country. Countries already part of the Abraham Accords as of market creation—including the United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, Morocco, and Sudan—will not count. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-a-new-country-join-the-abraham-accords-by-october-31
| Broken-Cashew |
| Yes |
| 397.57 |
| Kris-Future | No | 299.99 |
| Nadmi | Yes | 250 |
| Mr-Krabs | No | 222.91 |
| sanduspace | Yes | 200 |
| Eltimes | Yes | 195 |
| 718305 | Yes | 192.83 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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