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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 37.77K | $0.994 | $37.45K | -$105.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 466.99 | $0.993 | $463.72 | 3h ago |
|
| No |
| 10K |
| $0.977 |
| $9.91K |
| +$137.87 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | 5.66K | $0.990 | $5.63K | +$26.2 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | 5.25K | $0.945 | $5.01K | +$53.52 |
 James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? | No | 3.27K | $0.923 | $3.19K | +$171.49 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 5.05K | $0.500 | $2.54K | +$12.64 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 5K | $0.500 | $2.49K | -$12.5 |
 Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? | No | 353 | $0.941 | $344.35 | +$12.18 |
 US military draft authorized in 2026? | No | 281 | $0.918 | $272.15 | +$14.19 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state? | No | 10 | $0.973 | $9.77 | +$0.04 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 5 | $0.982 | $4.9 | -$0.02 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.960 | $4.83 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5 | $0.440 | $2.28 | +$0.08 |
 Fetterman out by September 30, 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.906 | $1.05 | +$0.08 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 1 | $0.740 | $0.96 | +$0.22 |
 Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.82 | $0.968 | $0.82 | +$0.03 |
 Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 0.22 | $0.972 | $0.22 | +$0.01 |
| buy |
| 8 |
| $0.995 |
| $7.96 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 21 | $0.995 | $20.9 | 2d ago |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 5 | $0.982 | $4.91 | 3d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | 3d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 5.39K | $0.993 | $5.35K | 4d ago |
| Fetterman out by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 494.07 | $0.906 | $447.62 | 4d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | sell | 25.88K | $0.999 | $25.85K | 5d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 12.61K | $0.994 | $12.54K | 8d ago |
 Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.850 | $1.53K | 8d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 2.57K | $0.999 | $2.57K | 10d ago |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | 10d ago |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 230 | $0.999 | $229.77 | 10d ago |
 Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | 10d ago |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | 10d ago |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No | buy | 14 | $0.999 | $13.99 | 10d ago |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No | buy | 1.06K | $0.999 | $1.06K | 10d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.999 | $10.99 | 10d ago |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.2K | $0.998 | $1.2K | 10d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 2.2K | $0.999 | $2.2K | 10d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.995 | $1.47K | 10d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 639 | $0.997 | $636.83 | 12d ago |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by August 31?No | buy | 2.38K | $0.998 | $2.37K | 12d ago |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by August 31?No | buy | 1.9K | $0.996 | $1.89K | 12d ago |
 Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?No | buy | 27 | $0.999 | $26.97 | 12d ago |
| Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by August 31?No | buy | 1.8K | $0.999 | $1.8K | 12d ago |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 2.69K | $0.998 | $2.68K | 12d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 995.43 | $0.997 | $992.44 | 12d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 231 | $0.992 | $229.15 | 12d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 34 | $0.997 | $33.9 | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 7K | $0.996 | $6.97K | 13d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 1.22K | $0.997 | $1.22K | 14d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 3K | $0.998 | $2.99K | 15d ago |
| Will at least 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 28 | $0.993 | $27.8 | 15d ago |
| Will at least 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.996 | $995.82 | 15d ago |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by August 31?No | buy | 354 | $0.993 | $351.52 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 500 | $0.997 | $498.5 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?No | buy | 12.04K | $0.997 | $12K | 17d ago |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.43K | $0.992 | $2.41K | 18d ago |
 Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.26K | $0.992 | $1.25K | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 71 | $0.992 | $70.43 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 5K | $0.994 | $4.97K | 22d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?Yes | buy | 937.35 | $0.991 | $929.27 | 22d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.983 | $1K | 26d ago |
 Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 1.02K | $0.998 | $1.02K | 27d ago |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?No | buy | 7.1K | $0.987 | $7.01K | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.998 | $4.99K | 28d ago |
 Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 53 | $0.999 | $52.95 | 28d ago |
| Will Mark Sanford be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 53 | $0.999 | $52.95 | 28d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 5K | $0.995 | $4.98K | Aug 8, 2026 |