Analytics
Resolved No on 7 Mar 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.4%. Yes opened at 24.5% on 9 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2025 to 7 Mar 2025, the highest close was 24.5% on 9 Feb 2025 and the lowest 3.4% on 1 Mar 2025. Its largest one-day move was 7.6 points down, to 3.4% on 1 Mar 2025. $14.25K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 8, 4:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 9 Feb 2025 – 7 Mar 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2025 | 24.5% |
| 7 Mar 2025 | 14.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.48K |
| BigSmolE | No | 0.03 |
| low.iq.games | No | 0.02 |
| blyagha | No | 0.02 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the nonfarm payroll employment according to the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for February, scheduled to be released on March 7, 2025, 8:30 AM ET. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-many-jobs-added-in-february-2025
| bignickck | No | 0.02 |
| redflaged | No | 0.01 |
| epstes | No | 0.01 |
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