Analytics
Yes is at 8%, down 30 points from 37.5% when the market opened on 3 Sep 2026.
Across the 53 daily closes on record from 3 Sep 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 43.5% on 4 Oct 2026 and the lowest 5.5% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 5.5%; a month before, 11.5%. Its largest one-day move was 33 points up, to 43.5% on 4 Oct 2026.
$6.46K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $11.33K, with a 4.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 119 trades, $427.52 bought Yes and $2.33K bought No.
The largest Yes position is Amber Voyager 4510 with 749 shares; the largest No position is randomWalkingShrimp with 1.1K. Ten wallets hold 93.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 53 points, 3 Sep 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Sep 2026 | 37.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 8.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| randomWalkingShrimp | No | 1.1K |
| Amber Voyager 4510 | Yes | 748.75 |
| FrozenParasite | No | 513.8 |
On August 28, 2026, the United States and Venezuela announced an oil deal granting the United States access to Venezuela's crude oil reserves. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any amount of Venezuelan oil acquired under this agreement is deposited into the United States Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying deposit must be confirmed to have been received at a US SPR storage facility and to have been sourced from Venezuela under the referenced agreement or a successor US-Venezuela oil deal. Announcements of plans or intentions to deposit Venezuelan oil into the SPR will not qualify. The deposit must be confirmed by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the government of the United States and a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/venezuelan-oil-added-to-strategic-petroleum-reserve-byptptpt
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 437.81 |
| RobertCZ | Yes | 399.99 |
| Darling-Top | No | 263 |
| tabcoin | Yes | 95.01 |
| Bodytobody | Yes | 53 |
| Perypery | Yes | 50.99 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 43.23 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
