Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 13.5% on 19 Mar 2025. Before it settled, across the 290 daily closes on record from 19 Mar 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 16.5% on 23 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.3% on 1 Jan 2026. $165.14K traded over the market's life.
79 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 290 points, 19 Mar 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Mar 2025 | 13.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if active regular US military personnel physically enter Yemen at any point between March 17, 2025, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. US military personnel must physically enter the terrestrial territory of Yemen to qualify. Entering Yemen's maritime or aerial territory will not count. High ranking US service members entering Yemen for diplomatic purposes (and their accompanying entourage), military contractors, military advisors, and special operation forces will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/us-forces-in-yemen-in-2025
New to prediction markets?
| mrpink42069 | Yes | 1.67K |
| Rk11 | Yes | 1.24K |
| tryrobo | Yes | 758.13 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 439 |
| Misguided-Rainbow | Yes | 400.64 |
| lebigchungusLol | Yes | 238.81 |
| jontra | Yes | 200 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
