Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 569.73 | $0.110 | $62.67 | Feb 19, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 15.71K |
| $0.070 |
| $1.1K |
| Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 17.71 | $0.100 | $1.77 | Jan 24, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 17, 2026?Yes | buy | 542.64 | $0.184 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.080 | $83.52 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.096 | $100 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.090 | $90 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.090 | $0.72 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 9, 2026?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.591 | $177.34 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.160 | $128 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.016 | $20 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 10?Yes | buy | 93.15 | $0.010 | $0.93 | Oct 9, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | sell | 1.35K | $0.170 | $229.5 | Oct 7, 2025 |
 Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by October 3?No | buy | 465.12 | $0.043 | $20 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?Yes | buy | 21.73K | $0.003 | $69.62 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel not strike Yemen by September 30 ET?Yes | buy | 75.88K | $0.001 | $100 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 27 ET?Yes | buy | 20K | $0.001 | $20 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 28 ET?Yes | buy | 30.32K | $0.001 | $41 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 29 ET?Yes | buy | 30K | $0.001 | $30 | Sep 25, 2025 |
| Will Israel strike Yemen on September 30 ET?Yes | buy | 30.02K | $0.001 | $36 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 50.66 | $0.120 | $6.08 | Sep 20, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.011 | $14.53 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran in July?Yes | buy | 1.52K | $0.198 | $299.75 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Netanyahu before August?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.015 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | sell | 73.99 | $0.300 | $22.2 | Jul 1, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel before August?Yes | buy | 73.99 | $0.330 | $24.45 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 10K | $0.002 | $20 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 14.01K | $0.004 | $56.03 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 16.03K | $0.001 | $16.03 | Jun 30, 2025 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?No | buy | 8.73K | $0.017 | $148.34 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.37 | $0.080 | $0.03 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 730 | $0.080 | $58.4 | Jun 29, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | sell | 999 | $0.090 | $89.91 | Jun 29, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.59K | $0.052 | $391.62 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 222 | $0.071 | $15.76 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 11.62 | $0.073 | $0.85 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 9.68K | $0.998 | $9.66K | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.011 | $11.09 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran by Thursday?Yes | sell | 8.04K | $0.001 | $9.17 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Thursday?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.080 | $428.5 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.242 | $428.49 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran by Thursday?Yes | buy | 2.68K | $0.085 | $227.98 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.02K | $0.020 | $300 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.02K | $0.121 | $485 | Jun 18, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 6.83K | $0.294 | $2.01K | Jun 15, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 820.77 | $0.352 | $288.72 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 2.03K | $0.344 | $700 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran by Friday?Yes | buy | 7.03K | $0.142 | $998.86 | Jun 12, 2025 |