Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.420 | $459.41 | Aug 31, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 1.76K |
| $0.420 |
| $740 |
| Aug 31, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 0.87 | $0.420 | $0.37 | Aug 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 582 | $0.420 | $244.44 | Aug 26, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 48.41 | $0.290 | $14.04 | Aug 19, 2025 |
 US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | buy | 283.58 | $0.280 | $79.4 | Aug 19, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.259 | $103.6 | Aug 10, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | sell | 322 | $0.300 | $96.6 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.17K | $0.067 | $145.66 | Jul 24, 2025 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.069 | $20.7 | Jul 23, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 211 | $0.380 | $80.18 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 387.65 | $0.620 | $240.34 | Jun 20, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | sell | 634 | $0.620 | $393.08 | Jun 20, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?Yes | sell | 723.69 | $0.500 | $361.85 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.31K | $0.230 | $530.24 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 688.62 | $0.230 | $158.38 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 4.2K | $0.386 | $1.62K | Jun 13, 2025 |
 US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.100 | $100 | May 13, 2025 |
 US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 88 | $0.770 | $67.76 | May 9, 2025 |
| US-China trade deal before June?No | buy | 460 | $0.760 | $349.6 | May 7, 2025 |
| US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine?Yes | sell | 470 | $0.340 | $159.8 | May 5, 2025 |
| U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 284.76 | $0.340 | $96.82 | May 5, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 4.7K | $0.830 | $3.9K | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 804.05 | $0.488 | $392 | Apr 19, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?Yes | sell | 700 | $0.560 | $392 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 94.72 | $0.500 | $47.36 | Apr 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 185.04 | $0.975 | $180.41 | Apr 9, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | sell | 600 | $0.050 | $30 | Apr 9, 2025 |
| US forces in Yemen in 2025?Yes | buy | 3K | $0.130 | $390 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 1.3K | $0.900 | $1.17K | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 1.5K | $0.780 | $1.17K | Mar 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 580.56 | $0.670 | $388.98 | Mar 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine Ceasefire by Friday?No | buy | 4.47K | $0.920 | $4.11K | Mar 12, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 97.68 | $0.760 | $74.24 | Mar 11, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president before July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Mar 1, 2025 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | sell | 350 | $0.150 | $52.5 | Feb 28, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | sell | 2.5 | $0.690 | $1.72 | Feb 18, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 669.72 | $0.750 | $502.29 | Feb 11, 2025 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 335.82 | $0.110 | $36.94 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.110 | $33 | Feb 5, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 4.39K | $0.690 | $3.03K | Jan 19, 2025 |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?No | buy | 305.32 | $0.690 | $210.67 | Jan 19, 2025 |