Analytics
Yes is at 40%, down 10 points from 50% when the market opened on 19 Oct 2026.
Across the 6 daily closes on record from 19 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (5 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 19 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $2.4K, with a 18.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:38 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 19 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 40.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tainara Lisboa and Lucia Szabová at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai2-lucsza-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 30.0%.
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