Analytics
Yes is at 40.5%, down 9.5 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Oct 2026.
Across the 9 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 40.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 41% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)”.
The order book holds $2.36K, with a 19.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 4 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 11:34 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 40.5% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tainara Lisboa and Lucia Szabová at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai2-lucsza-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 30.0%.
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
