Analytics
Yes is at 38.5%, down 12 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Oct 2026.
Across the 10 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 38.5% on 30 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)”.
$39.68 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $3.48K, with a 3.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is VeryLucky888 with 40 shares; the largest No position is Tradersamzy with 40.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 11:01 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 10 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 30 Oct 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 38.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Yes | 39.68 |
| Tradersamzy | No | 39.68 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Tainara Lisboa and Lucia Szabová at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026, goes the full scheduled number of rounds and the result is determined by the judges' scorecards. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." Draws decided by the judges' scorecards after all scheduled rounds are completed will resolve "Yes." Technical decisions or technical draws declared before all rounds are completed will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai2-lucsza-2026-10-31
7 more markets, none above 30.0%.
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