Analytics
The Tainara Lisboa side is at 19.5%, down 31 points from 50% when the market opened on 18 Oct 2026.
Across the 7 daily closes on record from 18 Oct 2026 to 25 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 18 Oct 2026 and the lowest 17.5% on 24 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 32% on 19 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Tainara Lisboa vs. Lucia Szabová (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)”.
$5.97K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $6K since listing. The order book holds $10.25K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 34 trades, $1.12K bought Tainara Lisboa and $398.95 bought Lucia Szabová.
The largest Tainara Lisboa position is JohnnyWins with 5.2K shares; the largest Lucia Szabová position is VeryLucky888 with 5.3K. Ten wallets hold 99.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Nov 2026, 7 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 25, 7:06 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Tainara Lisboa price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 18 Oct 2026 – 25 Oct 2026
| Observed | Tainara Lisboa price |
|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 25 Oct 2026 | 19.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VeryLucky888 | Lucia Szabová | 5.33K |
| JohnnyWins | Tainara Lisboa | 5.25K |
| nigiri99 | Tainara Lisboa | 524 |
This market will resolve to "Tainara Lisboa" if Tainara Lisboa is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucia Szabová at UFC Fight Night: Moicano vs. Nolan, scheduled for October 31, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucia Szabová" if Lucia Szabová is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 14, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-tai2-lucsza-2026-10-31
6 more markets, none above 50.0%.
| Painfulvoid | Lucia Szabová | 386.01 |
| JohnnyMarkets | Lucia Szabová | 56 |
| djacazl | Lucia Szabová | 48.64 |
| Excitable-Chime-Basil | Tainara Lisboa | 42.96 |
| iloveu4ever | Tainara Lisboa | 41.75 |
| Whirlwind-Cooking | Tainara Lisboa | 38 |
| Clawbotazleeruiz9 | Lucia Szabová | 33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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