Analytics
The Billy Elekana side is at 26.5%, down 23 points from 49.5% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 2 Nov 2026. A week before that last close the Billy Elekana side was at 27%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)”.
$3.71K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $7.98K since listing. The order book holds $27.23K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 55 trades, $1.31K bought Billy Elekana and $2.3K bought Lucas Fernando.
The largest Billy Elekana position is Gugabe with 4.3K shares; the largest Lucas Fernando position is VeryLucky888 with 4.2K. Ten wallets hold 89% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
The paper ticket needs a verified Yes / No pair, which this market does not have here.
Open in PredictionsDaily closes of the Billy Elekana price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Billy Elekana price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 26.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Gugabe | Billy Elekana | 4.31K |
| VeryLucky888 | Lucas Fernando | 4.19K |
| n.jordanov | Lucas Fernando | 1.37K |
This market will resolve to "Billy Elekana" if Billy Elekana is officially declared the winner of the fight against Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026. It will resolve to "Lucas Fernando" if Lucas Fernando is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-luc8-2026-11-07
6 more markets, none above 27.0%.
| Kuntro2 | Billy Elekana | 800 |
| Gl4d | Billy Elekana | 754.97 |
| 300PS | Billy Elekana | 598.99 |
| omnibus-076daa | Lucas Fernando | 597.73 |
| DurchdenHandelstimmstdu | Billy Elekana | 499.98 |
| BejingOlympics | Lucas Fernando | 334.59 |
| wally77777 | Lucas Fernando | 334.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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