Analytics
Yes is at 32%, down 18 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 26% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 26% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $2.01K, with a 36.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 32.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Billy Elekana and Lucas Fernando at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, ends by submission, including tapout, verbal submission, or technical submission (referee stoppage due to a submission hold). Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-luc8-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 27.0%.
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