Analytics
Yes is at 39%, down 11 points from 50% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 11 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 6 Nov 2026, the highest close was 50% on 27 Oct 2026 and the lowest 39% on 6 Nov 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 50%. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 39% on 6 Nov 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC Fight Night: Billy Elekana vs. Lucas Fernando (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)”.
The order book holds $2.25K, with a 22.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 8 Nov 2026, 2 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Nov 6, 10:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 6 Nov 2026, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 6 Nov 2026 | 39.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucas Fernando defeats Billy Elekana at UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brady, scheduled for November 7, 2026, by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 21, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-bil6-luc8-2026-11-07
7 more markets, none above 27.0%.
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