Analytics
Yes is at 35%, down 15 points from 50% when the market opened on 16 Oct 2026.
Across the 5 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 21 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 50% on 16 Oct 2026 and the lowest 33.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 33.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
It is one of 19 markets under “UFC 333: Abubakar Vagaev vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Early Prelims)”.
The order book holds $4.33K, with a 30.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
Trading closes on 25 Oct 2026, 3 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 22, 2:58 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 30%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.0% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 34.0% |
Polymarket lists no holders for this market.
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, ends by KO or TKO, including referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." If the fight ends in a draw or by disqualification (either fighter), it will resolve "No." If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-avagae-jac7-2026-10-24
7 more markets, none above 26.5%.
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