Analytics
Resolved Yes on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 69%. Yes opened at 50.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 69% on 24 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 63.5% on 20 Oct 2026.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 6:51 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 69.0% |
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, is decided by the judges' scorecards or officially declared a draw, including unanimous, split, majority, and technical decisions, and technical draws. It will resolve to "No" if the fight ends by KO, TKO, submission, or disqualification. If the bout is ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond November 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-avagae-jac7-2026-10-24
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