Analytics
Resolved Over on 24 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Over at 74%. The Over side opened at 50.5% on 16 Oct 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2026 to 24 Oct 2026 (2 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 74.5% on 21 Oct 2026 and the lowest 50% on 17 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 19 points up, to 68.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $16.48K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 25, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Over price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 16 Oct 2026 – 24 Oct 2026, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Over price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2026 | 50.5% |
| 24 Oct 2026 | 74.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mooseborzoii | Under | 15.57K |
| ptf-taiwan | Under | 571.61 |
| xJared | Under | 31.07 |
| Bright Beacon 4384 | Under | 17.86 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Each market will resolve to "Over" if the fight between Abubakar Vagaev and Jacob Malkoun at UFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev, scheduled for October 24, 2026, lasts beyond the listed round threshold. Each market will resolve to "Under" if the fight does not last beyond the listed round threshold. For example: "Over 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight continues past the 2:30 mark of Round 3. "Under 2.5 Rounds" will resolve "Yes" if the fight ends before the 2:30 mark of Round 3. If the fight ends exactly at the threshold, it will resolve "50-50." If the bout is not scored, postponed beyond November 7, 2026, or canceled, all options will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-avagae-jac7-2026-10-24
| Flipso007 | Under | 3.57 |
| Trufa-Negra | Under | 3.57 |
| rrawrr | Under | 3.45 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
