Analytics
Yes is at 10.5%, down 23 points from 33% when the market opened on 2 Sep 2026.
Across the 55 daily closes on record from 2 Sep 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 35.5% on 6 Sep 2026 and the lowest 10.5% on 9 Sep 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 10.5%; a month before, 10.5%. Its largest one-day move was 25 points down, to 11% on 7 Sep 2026.
$938.39 traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $333.1, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask.
The largest Yes position is DeverNoom with 282 shares; the largest No position is FrozenParasite with 362.
Trading closes on 1 Jul 2027.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 8:26 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 55 points, 2 Sep 2026 – 28 Oct 2026, chart shows 0%–50%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Sep 2026 | 33.0% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 10.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FrozenParasite | No | 362 |
| DeverNoom | Yes | 282.39 |
| Impish-Disparity | Yes | 35 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States Space Academy begins training its inaugural class of students at any point between market creation and June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The "United States Space Academy" refers to the NASA-led federal service academy directed to be established under the executive order "Establishing the United States Space Academy," signed on August 28, 2026. "Begins training" means the Academy formally commences academic instruction or training for its first enrolled class of students or cadets. The formation of the Presidential Commission on the United States Space Academy, the submission of the Commission's report, the enactment of enabling legislation, the selection of a location, or the construction or opening of facilities will not qualify as the commencement of training. The admission or enrollment of students without instruction having commenced also will not qualify. Actual commencement of instruction for the first class by June 30, 2027 is required for this market to resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from NASA and the White House; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-space-academy-begins-training-by-june-30-2027
| IFZ |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| lolzzzlol | Yes | 20 |
| Elias.Thornwell | No | 6.39 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 0.6 |
| VonVonagh | Yes | 0.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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