Analytics
Resolved Yes on 25 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 97.2%. Yes opened at 75% on 17 Apr 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 17 Apr 2026 to 25 Apr 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 97.2% on 25 Apr 2026 and the lowest 54% on 23 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 25 points up, to 78.5% on 24 Apr 2026. $12.88K traded over the market's life.
19 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 26, 5:17 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 17 Apr 2026 – 25 Apr 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Apr 2026 | 75.0% |
| 25 Apr 2026 | 97.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Monumental-Fratricide | No | 1.69K |
| 0x8712 | No | 1K |
| 5-min | No | 199.85 |
| govindaa | No | 199.82 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the criminal investigation into Jerome Powell over his congressional testimony in June 2025 about the renovation of the Central Bank’s headquarters is dropped before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The investigation will be considered to be dropped if it is definitively announced by the DoJ, Donald Trump, or other relevant members of the Trump Administration that the investigation is or will be ended without proceeding to any charges or indictment, or if the investigation is otherwise confirmed to have ended without charges by a broad consensus of credible reporting. If the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Jerome Powell as a result of this investigation prior to Warsh’s confirmation, this market will immediately resolve to “No”. Kevin Warsh being confirmed as chair of the Federal Reserve requires the Senate to confirm Warsh’s nomination as Chair of the Federal Reserve. Recess appointments without Senate confirmation will not count. Senate confirmation of Warsh as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not alone qualify. If neither occurs by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the U.S. federal government. However, consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-drops-powell-investigation-before-warsh-is-confirmed
| adspokposs | No | 120 |
| Dankwizart420 | No | 100.51 |
| daroghi | No | 53.3 |
| jollyjoes | No | 40 |
| Lavincey | No | 31 |
| Jade Atlas 6F63 | No | 18.79 |
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