Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.740 | $93.75 | +$19.75 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Zug: Marc-Andrea Huesler vs Thiago Seyboth WildMarc-Andrea Huesler | buy | 100 | $0.230 | $23 | Jul 26, 2026 |
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jollyjoes is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #2,841,403 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$307.15 observed lifetime PnL, 312 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 96.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xd0bf9166bd0a939103bdd91f0f00d06a8118b759
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| Yes |
| 199.95 |
| $0.400 |
| $92.98 |
| +$13 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | No | 100 | $0.380 | $76.5 | +$38.5 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 100 | $0.388 | $51.25 | +$12.45 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 50 | $0.846 | $49.05 | +$6.75 |
 Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | No | 60 | $0.289 | $47.4 | +$30.06 |
 Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | No | 50 | $0.867 | $45.1 | +$1.75 |
 US x China tariff agreement by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.760 | $43.83 | +$5.83 |
 Discord IPO before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.543 | $42.53 | +$15.38 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 50 | $0.220 | $39 | +$28 |
 OKX IPO in 2026? | No | 40 | $0.830 | $37.8 | +$4.6 |
 Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 40 | $0.688 | $36.38 | +$8.86 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 50 | $0.660 | $34.75 | +$1.75 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 39.99 | $0.510 | $34.59 | +$14.2 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? | No | 40 | $0.810 | $34.2 | +$1.8 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.530 | $29.75 | +$3.25 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 200 | $0.500 | $25 | -$75 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.430 | $23.5 | -$19.5 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | No | 50 | $0.560 | $23.25 | -$4.75 |
 Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.690 | $18.6 | -$9 |
 Will Utah use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | Yes | 20 | $0.700 | $18.1 | +$4.1 |
 Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | No | 20 | $0.780 | $17.1 | +$1.5 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | 20 | $0.780 | $14.1 | -$1.5 |
 Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 50 | $0.180 | $13.75 | +$4.75 |
 Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2027? | No | 20 | $0.790 | $12.1 | -$3.7 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.830 |
| $166 |
| Jul 19, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.810 | $162 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.910 | $182 | Jul 19, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.945 | $189 | Jul 19, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 200 | $0.950 | $190 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.890 | $178 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 200 | $0.991 | $198.2 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.989 | $49.45 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | sell | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 200 | $0.971 | $194.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?No | sell | 200 | $0.976 | $195.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.995 | $199 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will Mike Collins be the Republican nominee for Senate in Georgia?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.921 | $92.1 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.992 | $99.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Argentina leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | sell | 199.98 | $0.625 | $124.95 | May 20, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.986 | $59.16 | May 20, 2026 |
 Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 78.49 | $0.925 | $72.6 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Encore Medical not IPO before June 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.820 | $41 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?No | sell | 200 | $0.318 | $63.66 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 40 | $0.810 | $32.4 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will there be at least 1600 measles cases in the U.S. by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 50 | $0.991 | $49.56 | Mar 28, 2026 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?No | buy | 20 | $0.660 | $13.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.590 | $29.5 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 90 | $0.275 | $24.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 200 | $0.480 | $96 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 200 | $0.156 | $31.13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.038 | $3.04 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 23?Yes | sell | 400 | $0.999 | $399.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 23?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.979 | $391.6 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.119 | $23.82 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 13?No | buy | 400.4 | $0.999 | $400 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 21?No | buy | 700.7 | $0.999 | $700 | Jan 21, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 20?No | buy | 300.3 | $0.999 | $300 | Jan 20, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?No | buy | 10.02 | $0.998 | $10 | Jan 19, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 16?No | buy | 401.2 | $0.997 | $400 | Jan 16, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $96,000 and $98,000 on January 15?Yes | buy | 104.17 | $0.960 | $100 | Jan 15, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 13?No | buy | 200.2 | $0.999 | $200 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 8?No | buy | 201.37 | $0.993 | $200 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 3?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.700 | $20 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 24?No | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on November 23?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.999 | $1K | Nov 23, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on November 16?No | buy | 654.58 | $0.993 | $650 | Nov 16, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 14?No | buy | 300.86 | $0.997 | $300 | Nov 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on November 12?No | buy | 100.2 | $0.998 | $100 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on November 9?Yes | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Nov 9, 2025 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on November 4?No | buy | 60.06 | $0.999 | $60 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 4?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.