Analytics
Yes is at 94.3%, up 8.3 points from 86% when the market opened on 27 Oct 2026.
Across the 3 daily closes on record from 27 Oct 2026 to 29 Oct 2026, the highest close was 94.3% on 29 Oct 2026 and the lowest 86% on 27 Oct 2026. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 93.5% on 28 Oct 2026.
It is one of 3 markets under “Trump declassifies new UFO files by...?”.
$7.53K traded in the last 24 hours, out of $15.42K since listing. The order book holds $10.18K, with a 0.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 82 trades, $4.1K bought Yes and $563.64 bought No; the largest was a $1.43K buy of Yes at 92.8¢.
The largest Yes position is smellyEllie with 4.9K shares; the largest No position is Kippekok with 2.8K. Ten wallets hold 92.5% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 65 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 29, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 27 Oct 2026 – 29 Oct 2026, chart shows 80%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Oct 2026 | 86.0% |
| 29 Oct 2026 | 94.3% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| smellyEllie | Yes | 4.88K |
| Kippekok | No | 2.78K |
| fledger | No | 2.14K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market’s timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-byptptpt-20261026
| Flamboyant-Warming |
| Yes |
| 1.69K |
| Emerald Scout EF69 | No | 628 |
| Rex416 | Yes | 451.29 |
| lissartter | No | 351.35 |
| LornaPredicts | No | 328.82 |
| CheffromHell | No | 162.1 |
| xtxpleasecallme | No | 158.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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