Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.4%. Yes opened at 42% on 2 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 93 daily closes on record from 2 Oct 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 49.5% on 11 Oct 2025 and the lowest 0.6% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 29.5% on 27 Nov 2025. $38.52K traded over the market's life.
53 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 93 points, 2 Oct 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Oct 2025 | 42.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Newshound | Yes | 977.29 |
| singularityman | Yes | 505 |
| Matsie | Yes | 479.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump formally declares a national emergency under the National Emergencies Act (NEA) between October 1, and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A national emergency must actually be declared for this market to resolve to "Yes" - it will not be enough for Trump to announce an intention to declare a national emergency. This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/trump-declares-another-national-emergency-by-december-31
| Yes |
| 431 |
| lineth | Yes | 419.51 |
| Productive-Encirclement | Yes | 214 |
| Promethodgainz | Yes | 212.77 |
| Greedy-Timbale | Yes | 197.92 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 195 |
| 0xRocket666 | Yes | 150 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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