Trump approval Up or Down this week?

politicsResolved

Down, settled Jul 18, 2026 UTC

0.0%

Down

100.0%

Final Up 0¢Final Down 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.0K

Resolved

Down

Settled

Jul 18, 2026 UTC

Topic roomTrump and the White House

Where it stands

Resolved Down on 18 Jul 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had Down at 66%. The Up side opened at 50.5% on 11 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 11 Jul 2026 to 18 Jul 2026, the highest close was 61.5% on 14 Jul 2026 and the lowest 34% on 18 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 34% on 18 Jul 2026. $1.01K traded over the market's life.

6 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jul 19, 10:59 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Up price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 11 Jul 2026 – 18 Jul 2026, chart shows 20%–70%

Up price, first and latest
Observed	Up price
11 Jul 2026	50.5%
18 Jul 2026	34.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
EpicFury	Up	100
Prize-Jar	Up	47.71
Agile-Bamboo-Player	Up	10.64
meow-123	Up	8.77

6 of 6 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 17, 2026, than on July 10, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on July 10, 2026, than on July 17, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.