Analytics
Yes is at 1.5%, down 19 points from 20.5% when the market opened on 7 Oct 2026.
Across the 16 daily closes on record from 7 Oct 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (7 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 46.5% on 10 Oct 2026 and the lowest 1.5% on 28 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 1.6%. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 25.5% on 11 Oct 2026.
$5.05 traded in the last 24 hours, out of $2.86K since listing. The order book holds $10.66K, with a 1.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 60 trades, $58.72 bought Yes and $1.55K bought No; the largest was a $1.07K buy of No at 76.2¢.
The largest Yes position is 74-75 with 578 shares; the largest No position is willsom with 1.4K. Ten wallets hold 92.2% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Dec 2026, 34 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 6:22 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 7 Oct 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 7 Oct 2026 | 20.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 1.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| willsom | No | 1.4K |
| 74-75 | Yes | 577.94 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 406.18 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Matthew Van Houten’s departure as District Attorney of Tompkins County, New York is officially announced between market creation and November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Matthew Van Houten, the Tompkins County District Attorney’s Office, the Office of the Governor of New York, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Matthew Van Houten has ceased or will cease to hold the position of District Attorney of Tompkins County. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when Matthew Van Houten formally leaves the position. Announcements of Matthew Van Houten’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to Matthew Van Houten’s duties as District Attorney of Tompkins County do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that Matthew Van Houten is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that Matthew Van Houten will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that Matthew Van Houten plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than Matthew Van Houten, the Tompkins County District Attorney’s Office, the Office of the Governor of New York, or their authorized representatives. If Matthew Van Houten formally ceases to hold the position of District Attorney of Tompkins County without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Matthew Van Houten, the Tompkins County District Attorney’s Office, and the Office of the Governor of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/tompkins-county-district-attorney-out-by-november-30-2026
| Nostrafakus |
| No |
| 266.4 |
| bigdihhh888 | Yes | 120 |
| 0x9495d622aB74a6O1AD1668D3DD4F7A2E68C3468F | Yes | 106.25 |
| Perypery | Yes | 94.21 |
| SulkingCrypto | Yes | 74 |
| POB-T | Yes | 68.87 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 65.75 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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