Analytics
Yes is at 4.5%, down 41 points from 45.5% when the market opened on 15 Jul 2026.
Across the 106 daily closes on record from 15 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (3 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 45.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.6% on 20 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.6%; a month before, 3.3%. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 31% on 16 Jul 2026.
$23.39K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $23.36K, with a 1.1% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 175 trades, $218.92 bought Yes and $6.01K bought No; the largest was a $5.24K buy of No at 88.5¢.
The largest Yes position is Dr.PNL with 545 shares; the largest No position is aviato with 1.3K. Ten wallets hold 86.3% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2027, 63 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 2:57 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 106 points, 15 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 45.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 4.5% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| aviato | No | 1.31K |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 544.85 |
| wallet-account-test | Yes | 279 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Todd Blanche is disbarred or suspended from practicing law in New York State by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will count as disbarment for purposes of this market if Todd Blanche voluntarily surrenders his own bar license. Administrative suspensions, including those resulting from failure to comply with attorney registration or continuing legal education requirements, will not qualify for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Appellate Division of the New York Supreme Court; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/todd-blanche-disbarred-or-suspended-in-ny-in-2026-20260713190235888
| rocky42016 |
| Yes |
| 227 |
| singularityman | No | 162 |
| xtxpleasecallme | Yes | 131.16 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 74.87 |
| brbrrpatapim | No | 57.42 |
| thisissocool11 | No | 57.39 |
| PAntipov | No | 53.79 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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