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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? | No | 317.12 | $0.874 | $287.31 | +$10.3 |
 Yoon out of custody before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.890 | $0.38 | 15h ago |
|
| No |
| 258.21 |
| $0.879 |
| $239.75 |
| +$12.66 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? | No | 236.64 | $0.910 | $229.19 | +$13.75 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | No | 236.68 | $0.926 | $221.3 | +$2 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 163.35 | $0.934 | $157.06 | +$4.46 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | No | 150 | $0.911 | $143.1 | +$6.38 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 150 | $0.934 | $140.25 | +$0.11 |
 Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold? | No | 140.62 | $0.990 | $139.71 | +$0.49 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 154.05 | $0.870 | $136.33 | +$2.3 |
 Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? | No | 136.93 | $0.837 | $135.7 | +$21.12 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 150 | $0.867 | $128.25 | -$1.75 |
 Trump out as President by September 30? | No | 118.19 | $0.990 | $117.24 | +$0.24 |
 Iran leadership change by September 30? | No | 100 | $0.960 | $97.7 | +$1.7 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027? | No | 100 | $0.846 | $96.15 | +$11.55 |
 Will Iran target Ukraine by September 30, 2026? | No | 73.88 | $0.899 | $72.77 | +$6.32 |
 Todd Blanche disbarred or suspended in NY in 2026? | No | 63.7 | $0.964 | $61.28 | -$0.13 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.960 | $49.53 | +$1.53 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | No | 50 | $0.982 | $49.33 | +$0.22 |
 Will Trump pardon Joe Exotic "The Tiger King" before 2027? | No | 53.79 | $0.885 | $49.22 | +$1.63 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat? | Yes | 50.03 | $0.982 | $49.1 | -$0.03 |
| Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.930 | $48.35 | +$1.85 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | 50 | $0.870 | $46.75 | +$3.25 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 50.29 | $0.919 | $46.52 | +$0.3 |
 Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.880 | $45.43 | +$1.43 |
 Will Base launch a token by September 30, 2026? | No | 42.85 | $0.940 | $42.55 | +$2.27 |
| sell |
| 0.03 |
| $0.890 |
| $0.03 |
| 15h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.21 | $0.890 | $0.19 | 15h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 0.04 | $0.890 | $0.04 | 15h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 11.03 | $0.880 | $9.71 | 15h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.05 | $0.880 | $20.28 | 22h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 23.04 | $0.882 | $20.33 | 22h ago |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.91 | $0.860 | $3.36 | 23h ago |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 50 | $0.920 | $46 | 1d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 75.44 | $0.990 | $74.71 | 1d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 30.06 | $0.991 | $29.79 | 2d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 0.17 | $0.991 | $0.17 | 2d ago |
| Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?No | sell | 0.03 | $0.991 | $0.03 | 2d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No | buy | 48.2 | $0.966 | $46.55 | 2d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.740 | $37 | 3d ago |
| Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-03 House seat?Yes | buy | 50.03 | $0.982 | $49.13 | 3d ago |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | sell | 250 | $0.996 | $249 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 11.42 | $0.840 | $9.59 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.840 | $42 | 3d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | 3d ago |
 US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Stefanos TsitsipasStefanos Tsitsipas | buy | 100.15 | $0.970 | $97.15 | 4d ago |
| Iran leadership change by September 30?No | buy | 100 | $0.960 | $96 | 4d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.870 | $87 | 4d ago |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 150 | $0.934 | $140.14 | 4d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 92.63 | $0.890 | $82.44 | 6d ago |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.914 | $45.72 | 6d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?No | buy | 50 | $0.982 | $49.11 | 7d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 24.28 | $0.940 | $22.82 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.940 | $14.77 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.940 | $32.9 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 15.71 | $0.940 | $14.77 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.940 | $18.8 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 71.65 | $0.998 | $71.51 | 10d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No | sell | 71.58 | $0.998 | $71.44 | 10d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 6.54 | $0.989 | $6.47 | 10d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 22.24 | $0.990 | $22.02 | 10d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Sumudaerji | buy | 22.5 | $0.981 | $22.07 | 10d ago |
| UFC Fight Night: Alex Perez vs. Sumudaerji (Flyweight, Main Card)Sumudaerji | buy | 7.5 | $0.981 | $7.36 | 10d ago |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 in August?No | buy | 35.13 | $0.921 | $32.35 | 11d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 41.19 | $0.963 | $39.67 | 11d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 8.29 | $0.990 | $8.21 | 11d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for The Odyssey be between 550m and 570m by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.940 | $47 | 12d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | sell | 65.89 | $0.984 | $64.84 | 12d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | buy | 20 | $0.875 | $17.51 | 15d ago |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 800m and 900m by August 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.910 | $45.5 | 15d ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 250 | $0.985 | $246.25 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.982 | $34.38 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 35 | $0.983 | $34.41 | 15d ago |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?No | buy | 14.05 | $0.984 | $13.83 | 15d ago |